OPTIONSMART MORNING UPDATE: Slipped on economic concerns
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May 22nd, 2009 at 7:52 am
OPTIONSMART MORNING UPDATE: Slipped on economic concerns
1. OUTLOOK: Though declines were deep and broad, stocks finished well above the session lows. Autodesk beats by $0.10 and jumped 10% after hours. QQQQ implied volatility still below the 30 level. The market sentiment remains bullish. Investors look for a catalyst to resume the upward trend.
U.S.Futures point to a higher open.
2. KEY DRIVERS FOR TODAY:
- The index of leading economic indicators rose 1% in April - the first increase in seven months -- following a revised dip of 0.2% in March
- The
U.S. government invested an additional $7.5
billion in GMAC, the main source of financing for General
Motors
- Sears swung to surprise profit
- ADSK beat by $0.10, announced cost-cutting plan
- China's economy appears to be losing traction
- GM
to file for bankruptcy as early as next week
- Initial claims for the week ending May 16 totaled 631,000, while continuing claims climbed to a new record of 6.66 million
- The
pace of store bankruptcies will pick up - even if consumer
spending rebounds - in the next 12 months
QQQQ's implied volatility rose to to 29.2 According to our estimates, the NASDAQ index has a70% probability to move higher today 2. WISDOM NUGGETS: Prices have memory. 3. TRADING OPPORTUNITY: Buy bullish QQQQ or SPY spreads.
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